Recent Publications

This page contains the publications by lab members over the last eight years:

• 2010
• 2009
• 2008
• 2007
• 2006
• 2005
• 2004
• 2003
• 2002

2010

• Savage, D.W., D.L. Martell, and B.M. Wotton. 2010. Evaluation of two risk mitigation strategies for dealing with fire-related uncertainty in timber supply modelling. Canadian Journal of Forest Research. 40:1136–1154.
• Braun, W.J., Jones, B.L., Lee, J.W., Woolford D.G., Wotton, B.M. (Accepted May 2010) Forest fire risk assessment: An illustrative example. Journal of Probability and Statistics.
• Savage, D.W., Martell., D.L., Wotton, B.M. (Accepted March 2010) The evaluation of two risk mitigation strategies for dealing with fire-related uncertainty in timber supply modelling. Canadian Journal of Forest Research.
• Podur, J. and Wotton, B.M. 2010. Will climate change overwhelm fire management capacity? Ecological modelling. 21: 1301-1309.
• Wotton, B.M., Nock, C.A., Flannigan, M.D. 2010. Forest Fire occurrence and climate change in Canada. International Journal of Wildland Fire. 19(3): 253-271.
• Weise, D.R., Wotton, B.M. 2010. Wildland-urban interface fire behaviour and fire modelling in live fuels. International Journal of Wildland Fire. 19(2): 253-271.

2009

• Zhou, L., Braun, W.J., Woolford, D.G., and Wotton, B.M. (2009). A Simulation Study of Predicting Flush Date. Communications in Statistics - Simulation and Computation, 38(5): 1071-1082. DOI: 10.1080/03610910902785738
• Albert-Green, A., Braun, W.J., Martell, D.L., and Woolford, D.G. 2009. Modelling the Ontario Fire Weather Index. Under Revision.
• Woolford, D.G., Braun, W.J., Dean, C.B., and Martell, D.L. 2009. Site-Specific Seasonal Baselines for Fire Risk in Ontario. Submitted.
• Vilar del Hoyo, L., Woolford, D.G., Martell, D.L., and Pilar Martín Isabel, M. 2009. A Generalized Additive Model for Predicting People-Caused Wildfire Occurrence in the Region of Madrid, Spain. Submitted.

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2008

• Martell, D.L. 2008. The impact of fire suppression, vegetation, and weather on the area burned by lightning-caused forest fires in Ontario. Canadian Journal of Forest Research. 38(6): 1547-1563
• Woolford, D.G., Dean, C.B., Martell, D.L., and Braun, W.J. 2008. A Modelling Framework for the Seasonal Variation of Forest Fire Characteristics. Under Revision.
• Woolford, D.G., Cao, J., Dean, C.B., and Martell, D.L. 2008. Looking for climate change signals in the Canadian forest fire ignition record. Submitted.

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2007

• Beverly J.L. and B.M. Wotton. 2007. Modelling the probability of sustained flaming in Canadian fuel types: predictive value of fire weather index components compared with observations of site weather and fuel moisture conditions. International Journal of Wildland Fire 16(2) 161-173.

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2006

• Martell, D.L. 2006. Review of "Emulating Natural Forest Landscape Disturbances - Concepts and Applications" Edited by Ajith H. Perera, Lisa J. Buse and Michael G.Weber, 2004. ISBN 0231129165. Columbia University Press, New York. The Forestry Chronicle. 82(6): 877-878

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2005

• Beverly, J.L. and D.L. Martell. 2005. Characterizing extreme dry-spell and forest fire weather events in the Boreal Shield ecozone of Ontario, Agricultural and Forest Meteorology. 133 (1-4): 5-16.
• Flannigan, M.D., B.D. Amiro, K.A. Logan, B.J. Stocks, and B.M. Wotton 2005. Forest Fire and Climate Change in the 21st Century. Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change. DIO: 10.1007/s11027-005-9020-7
• Wotton, B.M. and D.L. Martell, 2005. A lightning fire occurrence model for Ontario. Canadian Journal of Forest Research. 35(6): 1389-1401.
• Wotton, B.M., B.J. Stocks and D.L. Martell. 2005. An index for tracking sheltered forest floor moisture within the Canadian Forest Fire Weather Index System. International Journal of Wildland Fire. 14(2): 169-182.

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2004

• Amiro, B.D., K.A. Logan, B.M. Wotton, M.D. Flannigan, J.B. Todd, B.J. Stocks and D.L. Martell. 2004. Fire weather index system components of large fires in the Canadian boreal forest. International Journal of Wildland Fire. 13(4): 391- 400.
• Beverly, J.L. and D.L. Martell. 2004. Modeling prescribed surface-fire regimes for Pinus strobus conservation. Conservation Biology. 18(6) 1541-1552.
• Girardin, M-P, J. Tardif, M. D. Flannigan, B. M. Wotton and Y. Bergeron. 2004. Trends and periodicities in the Canadian Drought Code and their relationships with atmospheric circulation for the southern Canadian boreal forest. Canadian Journal of Forest Research. 34 (1):103-119.
• de Groot, W.J.i, P.M. Bothwell, S.W. Taylor, B.M. Wotton, B.J. Stocks and M.E. Alexander. 2004. Jack pine regeneration and crown fires. Canadian Journal of Forest Research, 34:1634-1641.
• Hirsch, K.G., J. Podur, R.F. Janser, R.S. McAlpine and D.L. Martell. 2004. Productivity of Ontario initial attack fire crews. Canadian Journal of Forest Research. 34:705-715.
• Stocks, B.J, M.E. Alexander, B.M. Wotton, C.N. Stefner, M.D. Flannigan, S.W. Taylor, N. Lavoie, J.A. Mason, G.R. Hartley, M.E. Maffey, G.N. Dalrymple, T.W. Blake, M.G. Cruz and R.A. Lanoville. 2004. Crown fire behaviour in a northern jack pine-black spruce forest. Canadian Journal of Forest Research, 34: 1548-1560.
• Taylor, S.W, B.M. Wotton, M.E. Alexander and G.N. Dalrymple. 2004. Variation in wind and crown fire behaviour in a northern jack pine - black spruce forest. Canadian Journal of Forest Research, 34:1561-1576.
• Wotton, B.M. 2004. Predicting forest fire occurrence in Ontario. Ph.D. Thesis, Faculty of Forestry, University of Toronto

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2003

• Amiro, B.D., K.A. Logan, B.M. Wotton, M.D. Flannigan, J.B. Todd, B.J. Stocks, and D.L. Martell. 2003. The weather of large fires in the Canadian boreal forest. Proceedings of the Fifth Symposium on Fire and Forest Meteorology, November 16-20, 2003, Orlando, Florida. American Meteorological Society, Boston. P1.5
• Wotton, B. M., D.L. Martell and K.A. Logan. 2003. Climate change and people-caused forest fire occurrence in Ontario. Climatic Change 60: 275-295.
• Podur, J., D.L. Martell and F. Csillag. 2003. Spatial patterns of lightning-caused forest fires in Ontario, 1976-1998. Ecol. Modelling. 164: 1-20.
• Beverly, J.L. and D.L. Martell. 2003. Modeling "Pinus strobus" mortality following prescribed fire in Quetico Provincial Park, northwestern Ontario. Can. J. Forest Res. 33(4): 740-751
• Beverly, J.L. and D.L. Martell. 2003. Characterizing extreme dry-spell and forest fire events in the province of Ontario, Canada. Proceedings of the Fifth Symposium on Fire and Forest Meteorology. Orlando, Florida. November 16-20, 2003. American Meteorological Society, Boston. J9.5
• Beverly, J.L. 2003. Modeling fire regimes for fire management in protected areas. Ph.D. Thesis, Faculty of Forestry, University of Toronto.
• Beverly, J.L. and D.L. Martell. 2003. Characterizing historical variability in boreal fire frequencies: implications for fire and forest management. In Systems Analysis in Forest Resources - Proceedings of the Eighth Symposium, September 27-30, 2000. Snowmass Village, Colorado, U.S.A. Edited by G. J. Arthaud and T. M. Barrett. Kluwer Academic Publishers, Boston, pp. 3-14.
• Podur, J., D.L. Martell and F. Csillag. 2003. Spatial point pattern analysis of lighting-caused forest fires in the boreal forest region of Ontario. In Systems Analysis in Forest Resources - Proceedings of the Eighth Symposium. September 27-30, 2000. Snowmass Village, Colorado, U.S.A. Edited by G. J. Arthaud and T. M. Barrett. Kluwer Academic Publishers, Boston, pp. 61-68
• Buchholz, G., J.G. Goldammer and D.L. Martell. 2003. Application of logistic models to predict human-caused forest fires in Siberia. in Early Warning Systems for Natural Disaster Reduction. J. Zschau and A.N. Küüppers, (Ed's). Proceedings of the International IDNDR-Conference on early warning Systems for the Reduction of Natural Disasters, Potsdam, Germany, September 7-11, 1998. Springer-Verlag, New York. pp. 593-599.

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2002

• Amiro, B.D., M.D. Flannigan,, B.J. Stocks and B.M. Wotton. 2002. Perspectives on carbon emissions from Canadian forest fires. Forestry Chronicle, 78(3): 388-390.
• Sanchez-Guisandez, M., W.B. Cui and D.L. Martell. 2002. FireSmart management of flammable wildland urban interface landscapes. Proceedings, IV International Conference on Forest Fire Research, Luso, Coimbra, Portugal, November 18-23, 2002. Domingos Xavier Viegas, Editor. Millpress, Rotterdam. 12 pp.
• Stocks, B.J., J.A. Mason, J.B. Todd, E.M. Bosch, B.M. Wotton, B.D. Amiro, M.D. Flannigan, K.G. Hirsch, K.A. Logan, D.L. Martell and W.R. Skinner. 2002. Large forest fires in Canada, 1959-1997. Journal of Geophysical Research 108(D1) art. no. 8149.
• Martell, D.L. 2002. Comment on "Wildfire Regime in the Boreal Forest and the idea of suppression and fuel buildup". Conservation Biology. 16(5) 1177-1177.
• Podur, J., D.L. Martell and K. Knight. 2002. Statistical quality control analysis of forest fire activity in Canada. Can. J. Forest Res. 32(2): 195-205.
• Amiro, B.D., M.D. Flannigan, B.J. Stocks and B.M. Wotton. 2002. Perspectives on carbon emissions from Canadian forest fires. Forestry Chronicle, 78 (3):388-390.
• Flannigan, M. D., K.A. Logan, B.J. Stocks, B.M. Wotton, B.D. Amiro and J.B. Todd. 2002. Projections of future fire activity and area burned in Canada. In: 4th International Conference on Forest Fire Research and Fire Safety. Viegas (Editor) Millpress, Rotterdam, Holland.
• Logan, K.A., M.D. Flannigan, B.M. Wotton and B.J. Stocks. 2002. Development of daily weather and fire danger scenarios using two General Circulation Models. In R. T. Engstrom and W. J. deGroot, (eds.) In, Proceedings of the 22nd Tall Timbers Fire Ecology Conference: Fire in Temperate, Boreal, and Montane Ecosystems. Tall Timbers Research Station, Tallahassee, FL.
• Skinner, W.R., M.D. Flannigan, B.J. Stocks, D.L. Martell, B.M. Wotton, J.B. Todd, J.A. Mason, K.A. Logan and E.M. Bosch. 2002. A 500 hPa synoptic wildland fire climatology for large Canadian forest fires, 1959-1996.i Theoretical and Applied Climatology. 71: 157-169.
• Stocks, B.J., J.A. Mason, J.B. Todd, E.M. Bosch, B.D. Amiro, M.D. Flannigan, D.L. Martell, B.M. Wotton, K.A. Logan and K.G. Hirsch. (2002) Large forest fires in Canada, 1959-1997. Journal of Geophysical Research 108(D1) art. no. 8149.

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